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Jonathan Suttin

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Sports Stupid

I've always thought all of us who love sports are a little irrational and superstitious.  Do you have a "lucky" jersey you wear for every Packers game?  Do you have to eat the same snack during every Badger game?  Do you only get another beer when the Brewers are playing defense because you think it brings them luck? I stopped doing those things because I now know that standing in a certain part of the room or wearing a special hat has ABSOLUTELY NO IMPACT ON THE GAME. I thought I had really gotten over those irrational thoughts, but I guess I still have a little work to do. I saw an article about a group called AccuScore.  Here's the description from the article of what they do: AccuScore provides baseball predictions and projections by calculating the precise probability teams have of winning each game, their division, and making the playoffs. Using projected starting lineups, baseball predictions are created by simulating each game of the season, one play at a time, up to 10,000 to 20,000 times. In other words, they can give you a pretty good idea what teams will make the playoffs.  This season my beloved White Sox have had some struggles to say the least.  There are times where the team looks great, but then suddenly they fall flat again.  I've written off the team several times this year only to be sucked back into it when they start doing well.  This past weekend the White Sox swept the Mariners and now stand in second place.  I've fooled myself once again thinking they have a chance to win the division.  My heart says it's still possible.  What does AccuScore say?  They say the White Sox have a 4.9% chance of making the playoffs. But maybe math is wrong?  Maybe the White Sox will go on a tear and make the playoffs.  I better go get my lucky sweatshirt and wear it until the end of the season.

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08/30/2011 12:01PM
Sports Stupid
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